Bruce Berkowitz's journey from worst to first is nearly complete, but what got him there is exactly why advisers should keep away.
One year after finishing in the bottom percentile
of large-cap funds, his flagship Fairholme Fund (FAIRX) is set to finish
in the top percentile of funds in 2012 with a return of nearly 30%.
The
turnaround has been fueled by a strategy Mr. Berkowitz has described as
“embrace the hated,” according to Bloomberg. Boiled down, it means
buying stocks that no one else wants. So while top holdings like
American International Group Inc. (AIG), Bank of America Corp. (BAC) and
Sears Holdings Corp. (SHLD) were dragging Fairholme Fund to a
jaw-dropping 32% loss in a year when the S&P 500 was flat, Mr.
Berkowitz held steady.
The patience paid off
big-time, as all three have posted stirring returns. The fund's largest
holding, AIG, is up 42%, while both Bank of America and Sears are up
more than 50%.
Unfortunately, investors in the
Fairholme Fund didn't show the same resolve as Mr. Berkowitz. As the
fund showed signs of struggling early last year, investors began to
bail.
The fund has had 20 straight months of
net withdrawals since February 2011. In total, investors have pulled out
more than $9.8 billion over that time, according to Lipper Inc.
With
the Fairholme Fund back on top of the investment world, now may seem
like the time to get back in. Sadly, that's the opposite of the buy-low,
sell-high mentality that led to its turnaround.
Mr.
Berkowitz's “embrace the hated” approach shouldn't be limited to
picking stocks but also used when picking mutual funds, some investment
pros say.
Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital
Management, spoke to advisers about the strategy's benefits at the
Schwab Impact Conference in Chicago in November — whether he knew it or
not.
Mr. Asness told his audience that the
best way to pick funds was to find the best managers, then to wait until
they were out of favor to buy them.
Of cource,
embracing the hated is a lot easier said than done. It takes conviction
and a strong stomach. But as Mr. Berkowitz has shown, it can lead to
major rewards.
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